I was in Yerevan the day of the election and I went to the Iranian mosque and talked to some ahmadinejad supporters. I think its v possible that he won, I just don't think there is any way they could have known that saturday morning (tehran time) and by such margins that they declared. normally they display the votes in terms of the top two contenders, and have a run off. its hard to believe there was no need for a run-off this time.
thats why everyone is upset. they want fair elections at least at the counting the votes part. i have no idea why the government risked this by doing it so unfairly, but they did. looks like khamenei is going to try to make it legitimate with the probe. its a smart move. he best figure something out or the little bit of legitimacy they have left might be squeezed away from them. this is a political crisis and it will take serious savvyness to overcome on the part of the ruling elite.
i think the other problem is that this shines a light on the supreme leader and his rule. if he ignores the constitution and the rights granted to the people in the constitution so blatantly, he is in trouble.
i don't think they want a revolution, they just want fair counting of the votes. i wouldn't believe the foreign press regardless. its not a revolt.
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